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I'd watch this but the constant noise of a cable slapping a mic is so awful. How was that not edited out of the audio?

I know it's harder to produce this so the analysis keeps up (why is a UBC played with a speed timing?), but it's a pain to have the analysis constantly a roll behind....

41:05 2 away post-crawford: 'I'm not a favorite so I'm not going to double'.... C'mon Justin, you know better than that. The right question is not 'am I a favorite', but 'can I _become_ a favorite after the next sequence?'. The answer is yes, and _any_ such market losing possibility requires a double here. There's a penalty in losing your market, but _no penalty_ (well duh) in doubling early.

37:30 I greatly appreciate your almost instant appraisal of positions, Justin. I'm more of a math nerd, and don't often get the feel right.... But the math is simple post-crawford, and I don't believe most people (incl. you) appreciate the 'free drop' difference between 2 away (no gammon value) and 4 away ( _huge_ gammon value: 1.05 - larger then even 4 away 2 away). Dropping the 'free drop' after making such an anchor as Oliver did would be a _huge_ blunder at 4 away (note: -.309 - no longer a 'free' drop at all). With that anchor, even if Oliver were _slightly behind_ in wins, he should take (unlike at 2-away), because the gammons have dropped so much. 4 away post-crawford is a score to understand. It's a pass at this score only if trailer's wins + 1.05 * his gammon wins >=66% ( _not_ wins alone >=50%). When gammon losses are down to 7% (as they were after Oliver's 22), he would have had a take even if his wins were only 42%(!) If you make an advanced anchor or escape a checker on the second roll as leader in this score, you may well have a take. Example reference position: even if trailer opens with 3-1(!) and you roll 6-5 as leader at 4-away post-crawford, you have a take, although your wins are less than 50% (look it up) (though of course it's a drop at 2 away post crawford - win % is all that matters there). At 4 away, you've got to estimate gammons.

32:08 '2-1, I slot of course...' Kind of knee-jerk, and a .029 error. Most of the slotting benefit comes from not getting hit, which is truncated because of the free drop. But the risk is amplified more than usual; his 4-4 joker was a _huge_ equity gain for him; any thoughts of giving up the game to you are out the window. Still, it's time you doubled, Justin, though Oliver's anchor actually robber you of any market losers this roll (his drop is by no means free anymore). Running 'the trick' on a free-drop score is very thin ice. If you _really_ want to try it, you should know the market loser calculation. At this score, if your wins plus .57 times your gammon wins add to 61% or more, you have lost your market. Not worth pushing very far. BTW, gammons matter (a lot) in any free drop score but 2 away. The above calculation was _not_ 'favorite to win or not' (wins >=50%), contrary to the almost universally-held myth.

Love this video ... Abe’s a great guy ..watch your videos often .....last time I played u tawleh by giddy I won and you wanted to play again...I said that’s the last time you will ever play me lol I was smart

Rambo

I am sure that both the game and the commentary were excellent - however I really dislike watching backgammon 'online'... sorry.

More Dogfish Snardheim, Nick Blaster, Mushy, and Herb Romanski!

Excellent vid, thank you Justin! The last position is interesting. The blitzing play would be an overplay if white had his 5 point made instead of a blot. The blot on the 5 point definitely incentivizes continuing the blitz. In fact, any additional home board points great diminishes the blitz value. If white had no blots in his home board but not points either, I'd say it's a tossup, but I didn't run it through XG, so I'm not entirely sure.

Htting before entering from the bar; bearing-off before bearing-in, fancy 'Marc Olsen' style checker movements to "catch the opponent off guard", time to learn a little etiquette Mr ZZ.

great insight Justin, thank you very much!

when wifee stood up at the 51st minute you knew this game just got real!

Thank you very much Justin for sharing your insights!

Very great, thanks.

28:18 I suppose the duplication of the roll 3-5 is why the best move is 15/10. What a difficult decision.

1.5K views and only 46 likes?????

I've come to quite like this serpentine Abraham...

I howled out loud at your feigned explanation of what a "trigger" is for your European viewers.😅🤣😂

OMG not just a chouette video... ...but a chouette video with commentary! (and Justin time!)

Love these videos. Thanks Justin

Dice talk my friend 😎😎😎

Oh.. "Smash the LIKE button" - I thought you were saying "Smash the LIGHT button" which I immediately did... ...and now my phone's flashlight is broken.😭

Really big fan of this format - thanks, Justin.

Great stuff 👍🏻

Whooooo new game!

Nice one, quality match and analysis.

Wanna know what I say to myself whenever I see a notification from your channel? ... "Justin time", natch! (sorry - 😉)

Kudos for a great format - fast, instructive and easy to follow. Hope to see more of the same - thanks, Justin

Great format!

This series of yours is great. I like the format of where you record the online match and then provide XG augmented commentary afterwards. This way we get the benefit of your lucid explanation of errors as they happened, rather than the less than accurate in-the-moment thinking that could lead some astray. I'm really getting a lot from these and your style as an explainer has really improved over the years I've been following you ... at least for me.

That 5-4 was an incredibly passive play

Love the enthusiasm, Justin. Thank you for showing these matches :)

You're fun to listen to Justin. Great comments!

I'm glad to hear you thoughts about PR and being stuck on the bar, starting around 10:00. Personally, I feel that the effect of this is too great in a short match for PR alone to be a completely fair metric. I feel for a skill-and-win based point system, it would be best to award 3 points: 1 for the win, 1 for PR, and 1 for (least) total equity lost. I have seen this format used once or twice, but it is not the Galaxy / UBC format. In any event, I play at an 8 PR, so I'd be losing either way lol. But still, I think it would be more fair. Getting stuck on the bar in a short match can totally ruin your PR!

Love your comments 😄👍🏻 Great game though

Great stuff, many thanks!

Great breakdown, thank you!

Thanks as ever for the insights. We will have to resume lessons soon 😀

At the 1hr7min mark they missed an interesting banana split! Thanks for the video

That final game 5-5... ...🤔 so there IS a God?

Their 6-6 (at 20:18) was SO good that it did EVERYTHING... (everything except tell them how to play it!😄)

As always when your notification is spotted... ...it's Justin time. (and this one had the added bonus of Sax appeal!😉) Appreciate the content, esp your commentary- thanks! 👋👍🙏

Great video Justin. Thank you for sharing.

FYI - Justin is a massive fish. Still, its entertaining to watch him struggle to comprehend basic positions. Kudos!

LOVE this format and hope to see more. Thank you for a very instructive and enjoyable evening!

One of the great things about Justin's sense of humor is that you needn't ever worry about any social pressure to laugh at his jokes - he, himself will laugh loudly enough for the both of you! ;-)

Justin, you'll NEVER guess who I was rooting for on every roll...

I’m surprised how poorly Michi plays in speed gammon.🥹

Do more of these! They don't have to be against Zizka in order to be interesting